Elections Analyst Gives Trump Great News: “Trump’s Chances Of Winning Are His Highest Since July 30”

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Nate Silver, an elections analyst and statistician, said that Donald Trump is now favored according to his election forecast.

Silver said that Trump’s chances of winning the Electoral College rose from 52.4% to 58.2% – Kamala Harris’ odds have fallen from 47.3% to 41.6%.

Silver wrote, “The forecast is still in toss-up range, but Trump’s chances of winning are his highest since July 30.”

Fox News reported:

Prominent elections analyst and statistician Nate Silver said Wednesday that former President Trump is now electorally favored to defeat Kamala Harris in November by the widest margin in months.

Silver released his latest election forecast, writing on his Substack, “The forecast is still in toss-up range, but Trump’s chances of winning are his highest since July 30,” Silver wrote.

Silver’s nuanced election forecast model shows Trump’s chances of winning the Electoral College have increased from 52.4% to 58.2% since last Thursday. Harris’ odds meanwhile, have decreased from 47.3% to 41.6%.

He also noted that Harris seemingly didn’t benefit from a DNC bounce as much as election models had predicted.

“There’s room to debate the convention bounce stuff, but Harris has been getting a lot of mediocre state polls lately,” Silver wrote.