Conservative Latinos Once Voted For Dems — Now There’s Been A 65 Point Swing To The GOP
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In 2012, 49% of self-described conservative Latinos said that they preferred Democrats controlling Congress.
A 2022 NBC News/Telemundo poll found that 73% of conservative Latinos now say that they prefer Republicans controlling Congress.
Moderate Latinos went from D+49 to D+32 while Liberal Latinos went from D+65 to D+80.
This was maybe the most fascinating finding from our recent NBC News/Telemundo poll:
Conservative Latinos went from D+9 in congressional preference in 2012 (per our merged polls), to R+56 now.
That's a net 65-pt swing https://t.co/trrTJNWc88 pic.twitter.com/eY7polS34m
— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 5, 2022
Of all the numbers from our recent NBC News/Telemundo poll of Latino voters, this set maybe stands out the most: Conservative Latinos have gone from Democratic-leaning voters in 2012 to Republican base voters now.
In the merged NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls of 2012, 49% of self-described conservative Latinos said they preferred Democratic control of Congress, versus 40% who wanted Republicans in charge — a 9-point edge for Democrats.
But in our Sept. 2022 NBC News/Telemundo poll, a whopping 73% of conservative Latinos say they prefer Republicans in control of Congress, versus 17% who prefer Democrats — a 56-point advantage for the GOP.
That’s a net 65-point swing in a decade, and it helps to explain how Republicans have cut into Democrats’ lead among Latino voters.
This is a disaster for Democrats.
